Visceral Fat, Not Pressure: How Adipokines May Drive HFpEF 

Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction may be driven primarily by dysfunctional visceral fat and harmful adipokines—shifting screening toward waist‑to‑height ratio and treatment toward fat‑targeting therapies, including GLP‑1 agents.

✨ What’s new

  • Cardiologist Milton Packer proposes the Adipokine Hypothesis: HFpEF arises when internal fat (visceral adipose tissue) expands and undergoes a pathological shift in adipokine signaling that promotes inflammation, volume expansion, and fibrosis.
  • Published in JACC and presented at ESC 2025, the framework is described by JACC editors as “bold” and “generative,” inviting validation and challenge through rigorous studies.

🧠 Fat biology over pressure

  • In health, adipokines protect the heart and kidneys by damping stress and inflammation and maintaining sodium/fluid balance; with excess visceral fat, this profile flips to pro‑inflammatory, pro‑fibrotic, volume‑expanding signaling implicated in HFpEF.
  • The model organizes adipokine “domains” whose imbalance explains hallmark HFpEF findings—systemic congestion, myocardial stiffness, and exercise intolerance—beyond a hypertension‑centric view.

🧍 Who’s at risk (beyond BMI)

  • BMI can miss visceral adiposity; the waist‑to‑height ratio (WHtR) better flags risk, with concern above 0.5 and many HFpEF patients exceeding 0.6 in cohorts cited by the framework.
  • This aligns with public guidance encouraging waists under half of height, enabling earlier recognition when dyspnea is mislabeled as “just obesity.”

💊 Treatment implications

  • Prioritize therapies that reduce fat mass and normalize adipokines; several approved HFpEF treatments may work partly via adipose biology but are underused in appropriate phenotypes.
  • GLP‑1 receptor agonists (e.g., semaglutide, tirzepatide) favorably influence adipokine release and have shown substantial reductions in HF hospitalization and all‑cause death in contemporary analyses—mechanistically consistent with the hypothesis.

📏 How to measure (simple and scalable)

  • Use WHtR at the point of care to stratify risk and phenotype candidates for adipose‑targeted therapy; consider serial WHtR to track response alongside standard HFpEF metrics.
  • Pair WHtR with clinical profiling (congestion, exercise capacity) to identify those most likely driven by adipokine imbalance.

🧪 Why this matters

  • Provides a testable, unified pathobiology to guide screening and therapy in a heterogeneous syndrome long lacking a single explanatory model.
  • Sets the stage for trials stratified by visceral adiposity and adipokine signatures to optimize therapy selection and timing.

🕰️ Historical parallel

  • Packer’s 1992 neurohormonal hypothesis transformed HFrEF management by shifting focus from mechanics to neurohormonal drivers; the adipokine framework aims to catalyze a similar shift for HFpEF.
  • Editors published the new hypothesis because it “invites rigorous challenge,” signaling a field‑level call to test and refine the model.

❓ FAQ

  • What is the Adipokine Hypothesis?
    A model positing HFpEF results from expansion and dysfunction of visceral fat that shifts adipokine signaling toward inflammation, volume expansion, and fibrosis.
  • Why not rely on BMI?
    BMI misses visceral fat burden; WHtR > 0.5—and often > 0.6 in HFpEF—better reflects risk tied to adipokine dysfunction.
  • How might treatment change?
    Greater emphasis on fat‑targeting strategies and drugs that restore healthy adipokines (including GLP‑1 RAs), alongside guideline‑directed HFpEF care.
  • Is it proven?
    It’s a generative framework; prospective trials by adiposity/adipokine phenotype are needed for validation and clinical algorithms.

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